Externality LimiterCarbonClimate Adaptation TrustTwo-Ledger Principle200-year vizProject scheduleFinancial StabilityTransportation
Projects shown
82
unfiltered
Total cost (filtered)
$24.2T
200-yr deployed
$22.0T
real 2030 dollars
Year-200 principal preserved
$5.0T
for post-2229 contingency
Filter
Year 1 · 2030
Era 1 · Foundation12 projects · $10.6BSea-level rise — public assets· VA· 6yr
Norfolk Naval Station seawall + drainage, Phase 1 (Sewell's Point)
$3.2B
BCR 8.4
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· NM· 3yr
LANL western perimeter fuel break (Los Alamos National Lab)
$400M
BCR 12+
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 4yr
Colorado River basin aquifer-recharge pilot
$600M
BCR 5.1
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 2yr
Ogallala Aquifer real-time monitoring grid
$180M
BCR 9.0
Transportation routes — federal/Interstate· TX· 8yr
I-10 Houston elevated reroute (Wallisville Rd to Beaumont)
$4.1B
BCR 6.7
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· LA· 5yr
Old River Control structure capacity upgrade
Catastrophic-loss avoidance.
$1.4B
BCR 11.2
Heat — federal facilities + workers· multi-W· 2yr
VA hospital cooling retrofit, southwest cohort (12 facilities)
$320M
BCR 7+
Public health — vector + heat surveillance· fed· 2yr
NOAA Atlantic hurricane intensity-forecast model upgrade
$90M
BCR very high
Heat — federal facilities + workers· multi· 1yr
Pacific NW wildfire smoke filtration, federal courthouses (28 facilities)
$60M
BCR 4.2
EPCR operations + research· fed· 1yr
EPCR establishment + 5-year scoping plan
$80M
BCR governance
EPCR operations + research· fed· 1yr
Climate Trust governance framework + investment policy statement
$40M
BCR governance
EPCR operations + research· fed· 1yr
Federal facility climate-risk inventory (1,200 owned + 8,400 leased)
$120M
BCR foundational
Year 2 · 2031
Era 1 · Foundation9 projects · $16.4BSea-level rise — public assets· HI· 7yr
Pearl Harbor seawall + dry-dock relocation, Phase 1
$4.8B
BCR 9.1
Sea-level rise — public assets· CA· 6yr
San Diego Naval Base + NB Coronado seawall
$2.7B
BCR 7.8
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· CA· 5yr
California Central Valley managed aquifer recharge (federal CVP coordination)
$1.8B
BCR 6.4
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi· 3yr
Lake Tahoe federal-land fuel break (USFS + BLM coordinated)
$500M
BCR 8.9
Transportation routes — federal/Interstate· VA· 7yr
I-95 Norfolk causeway elevation (Hampton Roads)
$3.6B
BCR 7.2
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· LA· 4yr
Mississippi River dam safety: Tarbert Landing + Morganza control
$900M
BCR 10.1
Heat — federal facilities + workers· CA· 4yr
GSA federal building cooling retrofit, Region 9 (LA basin, 184 facilities)
$1.6B
BCR 5.4
Tail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· HI· 3yr
Hawaii Volcanoes NP + federal-asset relocation off active flow zones
$220M
BCR 6+
Public health — vector + heat surveillance· multi· 3yr
CDC vector-borne disease surveillance, northern-tier expansion (15 states)
$310M
BCR 4.8
Year 3 · 2032
Era 1 · Foundation10 projects · $32.0BSea-level rise — public assets· NY· 8yr
NYC subway flood-gate retrofit (post-Sandy continuation, Phase 2)
$5.4B
BCR 9.6
Sea-level rise — public assets· MA· 10yr
Boston Harbor flood barrier (federal contribution, MA-state-led)
$2.8B
BCR 7.4
Sea-level rise — public assets· TX· 12yr
Galveston seawall extension + Ike Dike federal share
Contested cost; under EPCR review.
$11.0B
BCR 5.8
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi· 22yr
Forest Service fuel-reduction acceleration (Sierra Nevada + Cascades, programmatic)
$1.2B
BCR 7.0
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· CA· 2yr
LLNL + Berkeley Lab perimeter fuel break + ember-resistant retrofit
$300M
BCR 11+
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 12yr
Mississippi River system levee certification + USACE upgrade program
$8.0B
BCR 8+
Heat — federal facilities + workers· multi· 3yr
Federal prison HVAC + cooling retrofit (BoP, southern-tier 47 facilities)
8th Amendment baseline.
$900M
BCR 4.4
Heat — federal facilities + workers· fed· 3yr
USPS letter-carrier heat-safety program (vehicles, uniforms, depot cooling)
$600M
BCR 4.0
Grid + Black-Sky — dual-purpose· TX· 4yr
Texas grid winterization Phase 1 (federal-jurisdiction interconnection points)
Post-Uri tail-risk.
$1.4B
BCR 12+
Agriculture — research + soil + aquifer· fed· 6yr
National Forest seedling-stock climate-zone-shift program (USFS Genetic Resources)
$400M
BCR 6.0
Year 4 · 2033
Era 1 · Foundation10 projects · $22.0BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 6yr
Mayport Naval Station + Kings Bay submarine base seawall
$3.1B
BCR 8.2
Sea-level rise — public assets· CT· 5yr
Groton Submarine Base flood retrofit
$1.4B
BCR 7.9
Sea-level rise — public assets· FL· 5yr
Tyndall AFB + Eglin AFB hurricane-hardening (post-Michael lessons)
$2.8B
BCR 7.1
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi-W· 22yr
Colorado River Compact Operating Reserve buildup (federal-share aquifer banking)
$800M
BCR 6.5
Agriculture — research + soil + aquifer· multi· 4yr
ARS climate-shift agriculture research stations expansion (USDA, 8 new sites)
$700M
BCR 6+
Transportation routes — federal/Interstate· multi· 6yr
Yellowstone + Glacier NP infrastructure relocation off shifted-snowmelt-zone roads
$900M
BCR 5.0
Public health — vector + heat surveillance· fed· 2yr
Federal worker heat-illness national surveillance + intervention protocols (OSHA + CDC)
$140M
BCR 4.8
Grid + Black-Sky — dual-purpose· multi· 8yr
HVDC long-distance interconnection Phase 1 (East-West tie capacity expansion)
$4.6B
BCR 9+
Tail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· fed· 3yr
Spare-transformer cache program (Operation Sentinel scale-up — Trust share for climate-driven tie capacity)
$600M
BCR very high
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· LA· 10yr
New Orleans levee continuation + sediment diversion (USACE post-Katrina program continuation)
$7.0B
BCR 9.4
Year 5 · 2034
Era 1 · Foundation10 projects · $19.3BSea-level rise — public assets· multi-NE· 6yr
New England port-channel federal dredging + sea-rise adjustment program
$1.8B
BCR 5.6
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi· 4yr
National Lab portfolio fire-defensible-perimeter standard (LANL/LLNL/SNL/INL/ORNL)
$1.2B
BCR 10+
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 8yr
Rio Grande compact + Ogallala drought response (federal-share desalination + reuse)
$3.4B
BCR 5.9
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 12yr
Upper Mississippi flood-storage program (Army Corps)
$5.8B
BCR 7.6
Heat — federal facilities + workers· multi· 5yr
Federal courthouse cooling + emergency-power retrofit (350 facilities)
$1.4B
BCR 4.7
Tail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· fed· 4yr
NOAA Pacific tsunami buoy + DART network rebuild
$400M
BCR very high
Public health — vector + heat surveillance· multi· 3yr
CDC heat-illness emergency-response infrastructure (regional cooling-center + ambulance program)
$500M
BCR 5.2
Grid + Black-Sky — dual-purpose· fed· 6yr
Federal-grid cybersecurity dual-purpose hardening (DOE + CISA)
$1.6B
BCR 8+
Grid + Black-Sky — dual-purpose· multi· 4yr
Pacific Northwest grid winterization (post-2021 heat-dome lessons)
$1.2B
BCR 7.4
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi· 5yr
Forest Service prescribed-burn capacity tripling (workforce + equipment)
$2.0B
BCR 11+
Year 6 · 2035
Era 1 · Foundation8 projects · $22.3BSea-level rise — public assets· VA· 6yr
Norfolk Naval Station Phase 2 (Willoughby Spit + drainage extension)
$3.8B
BCR 8.4
Sea-level rise — public assets· SC· 6yr
Charleston federal asset hardening (CHS Naval Weapons Station + federal courthouse + VA hospital)
$2.4B
BCR 7.5
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· CA· 10yr
Sacramento + San Joaquin Delta federal-share levee certification
$6.2B
BCR 8.0
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi-W· 20yr
WUI federal-defensible-perimeter program (federal-adjacent towns within 5mi of USFS/BLM land)
$1.5B
BCR 8.0
Agriculture — research + soil + aquifer· CA· 8yr
Central Valley irrigation infrastructure efficiency upgrade (federal CVP)
$4.1B
BCR 6.5
Sea-level rise — public assets· LA· 5yr
Lower Mississippi salinity-intrusion barrier
$1.8B
BCR 7.5
Sea-level rise — public assets· FL· 8yr
Florida Keys federal asset relocation (USCG, NPS, federal courthouses)
$2.1B
BCR 6.8
Public health — vector + heat surveillance· fed· 3yr
NIH + CDC pandemic surveillance climate-disease integration
$400M
BCR tail-risk
Year 7 · 2036
Era 1 · Foundation2 projects · $14.5BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 4yrsignature program
Boston Harbor barrier Phase 2 + Maritime federal asset hardening (CG stations 47-state portfolio)
$8.0B
BCR 7.5
Grid + Black-Sky — dual-purpose· multi· 4yrsignature program
HVDC East-West tie Phase 2 + ARS climate-shift Phase 2 + NIST coastal sensor network
$6.5B
BCR 8.0
Year 8 · 2037
Era 1 · Foundation2 projects · $9.5BTransportation routes — federal/Interstate· multi· 3yrsignature program
I-95 Carolinas elevation pilot (NC + SC sections); Federal levee program nationwide certification reaches 60% milestone
$5.5B
BCR 6.5
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi· 3yrsignature program
Wildfire response aviation tanker fleet renewal + USDA seed-bank climate-shift expansion + Federal building Region 6 + 4 cooling retrofit
$4.0B
BCR 7.0
Year 9 · 2038
Era 1 · Foundation1 project · $3.5BTail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· multi· 2yrsignature program
Cascadia subduction-zone federal-asset preparedness (PNW emergency-response infrastructure) + Great Lakes federal-channel adjustment
$3.5B
BCR tail-risk; very high
Year 10 · 2039
Era 1 · Foundation1 project · $500MEPCR operations + research· fed· 1yrsignature program
Era 1 capstone — comprehensive Federal Climate Atlas published (5 hazard categories, 50 states, tract-level); 10-year program review; EPCR appropriation of next-decade plan
$500M
BCR governance milestone
Year 11 · 2040
Era 2 · Acceleration4 projects · $245.0BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 5yrsignature program
Hampton Roads regional barrier system; San Francisco Bay federal-asset coordination; Miami federal-asset relocation; Mississippi Sound salinity barrier
$110.0B
BCR 7.0
Inland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 5yrsignature program
Mississippi River System Phase 2 (full levee certification); Colorado River Compact post-2026 reset implementation; Ogallala Aquifer banking program at scale
$80.0B
BCR 7.5
Wildfire — public-asset perimeters· multi-W· 5yrsignature program
WUI defensive perimeter program reaches 80% of high-risk federal-adjacent towns; LANL Phase 2 (containment Quadrant)
$25.0B
BCR 9.0
Grid + Black-Sky — dual-purpose· multi· 5yrsignature program
HVDC interconnection completion; substation hardening 50% federal milestone
$30.0B
BCR 8.0
Year 16 · 2045
Era 2 · Acceleration2 projects · $155.0BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 5yrsignature program
Hampton Roads barrier Phase 2; San Diego Phase 2; Boston Harbor barrier completion; Florida Keys relocation completion
$130.0B
BCR 7.0
Tail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· multi· 5yrsignature program
First major draw — Cascadia subduction event scenario funding pre-positioned + Black-Sky transformer cache reaches 3-year contingency capacity
$25.0B
BCR tail-risk reserve activation
Year 21 · 2050
Era 2 · Acceleration1 project · $140.0BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 5yrsignature program
Coastal-asset relocation accelerates as 0.5m sea rise crosses operational thresholds for low-lying federal facilities
$140.0B
BCR 6.5
Year 25 · 2054
Era 2 · Acceleration1 project · $500MEPCR operations + research· fed· 1yrsignature program
Era 2 capstone — 25-year program review. Recalibrate forward 25-year plan against observed climate trajectory
$500M
BCR governance milestone
Year 26 · 2055
Era 3 · Major buildout1 project · $350.0BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 10yrsignature program
Sea-rise step-change decade: 0.7-1.2m sea rise begins to bite federal-asset thresholds. Norfolk Phase 3+; Charleston Phase 2; Hampton Roads regional system completion; Pacific bases Phase 2; New Orleans Phase 3
$350.0B
BCR 7.0
Year 36 · 2065
Era 3 · Major buildout1 project · $380.0BAgriculture — research + soil + aquifer· multi· 10yrsignature program
Agricultural transition + interior heat. Ogallala Aquifer post-collapse infrastructure; Southwest occupied-zone interventions (federal facility consolidation; federal-worker safety; federal prison + VA + federal court cooling at scale)
$380.0B
BCR 7.5
Year 46 · 2075
Era 3 · Major buildout1 project · $720.0BSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 10yrsignature program
Coastal relocation decade — sea rise crosses 1.5m threshold. Norfolk Naval consolidation begins; Pearl Harbor extended seawall; major federal-asset relocations from Florida Keys, Outer Banks, Texas Gulf, California low-lying
$720.0B
BCR 6.5
Year 56 · 2085
Era 3 · Major buildout1 project · $480.0BHeat — federal facilities + workers· multi· 10yrsignature program
Heat regime maturity + grid reorganization. Heat regime in southern tier reaches steady-state design parameters; major transmission re-routing as load centers shift north and the south becomes net-import
$480.0B
BCR 6.0
Year 66 · 2095
Era 3 · Major buildout1 project · $540.0BEPCR operations + research· multi· 10yrsignature program
Era-3 capstone decade — accumulated lessons drive Year 75 program review. Tail-risk reserve at this point should be ~$3T in real 2030 dollars to preserve Era 4 capacity
$540.0B
BCR Era-3 decade aggregate (preservation discipline)
Year 76 · 2105
Era 4 · Sea-level transition1 project · $3.5TSea-level rise — public assets· multi· 25yrsignature program
2.0m sea-rise threshold — federal naval consolidation completes (Norfolk, Charleston, Mayport, Pearl); new federal-asset locations identified inland
$3.5T
BCR 6.0
Year 101 · 2130
Era 4 · Sea-level transition1 project · $4.0TInland water — flood, drought, dams· multi· 25yrsignature program
Interior reorganization — climate equilibrium emerges in this period under most scenarios. Federal infrastructure begins reaching maintenance-only state for sea-rise category
$4.0T
BCR 5.5
Year 126 · 2155
Era 4 · Sea-level transition1 project · $5.5TTail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· multi· 25yrsignature program
Adaptation maintenance — climate trajectory at this point is largely determined by 21st-century mitigation. Federal infrastructure at adaptation-maintenance baseline. Tail-risk reserve continues growth
$5.5T
BCR Era-4 quarter-century aggregate
Year 151 · 2180
Era 5 · Preservation1 project · $8.0TTail-risk reserve — civilization-scale· multi· 50yrsignature program
Preservation half-century — maintenance-only across deployed infrastructure (50%); tail-risk reserve growth (30%); forward research + adaptation-capacity preservation (15%); EPCR ops (5%). Preserve principal against post-2229 regime
$8.0T
BCR Era-5 50-yr aggregate; preservation discipline