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Democratic Capacity Framework

What is the long-term goal of any society?

To renew the capacity of a free, self-governing, pluralistic republic to enable human flourishing, defend itself against coercion, sustain itself across generations, reason and govern itself collectively, and serve as a credible example of democratic self-government.
Individual Freedom
Freedom to travel, pursue ideas, choose meaningful work, form families, speak and worship and build.
Societal Responsibility
Ensure these freedoms are real, not nominal; invest in the capacity that makes freedom possible.
Measurable Balance
Eight domains at three scopes, tracked with failure indicators that cannot be hidden in aggregate averages.
See the framework →
National Scale

The Democratic Capacity Framework

Eight domains that collectively define whether a republic can sustain itself.

🌱
Flourishing
How well people live today: material security, health and life quality, life chances
US 2029: 58Target 2040: 74
Productive Capacity
Ability to generate resources and innovation: productivity growth, energy abundance, infrastructure quality
US 2029: 72Target 2040: 82
🏛️
Institutional Function
Formal government capacity: rule of law, judicial independence, democratic function, bureaucratic effectiveness
US 2029: 60Target 2040: 73
Binding Constraint
🤝
Civic Life
Informal fabric: trust, shared factual baseline, associations, cultural transmission, deliberative capacity
US 2029: 45Target 2040: 65
Binding Constraint
👨‍👩‍👧
Demographic Continuity
Whether society reproduces itself through freely chosen family formation
US 2029: 45Target 2040: 60
Binding Constraint
🌿
Ecological Solvency
Whether society sustains its biophysical base: climate, water, soil, biodiversity
US 2029: 40Target 2040: 62
🛡️
Defense Capability
Ability to protect the project from coercion: military capability, industrial base, allied architecture
US 2029: 88Target 2040: 88
🌐
Credibility
Trustworthiness, attraction, alignment with other credible societies
US 2029: 68Target 2040: 78
Binding Constraints

Three domains currently constrain the republic’s overall capacity: Civic Life (45), Demographic Continuity (45), and Ecological Solvency (40). These are the domains where the gap between current performance and the 2040 target is widest. The Accord prioritizes these domains not because the others are unimportant, but because a chain is only as strong as its weakest link. Among these, Civic Life is arguably the most fundamental: without a shared factual baseline and minimal institutional trust, the political consensus needed for every other reform cannot form. See the Civic Life investment portfolio →

Preliminary 2029 baseline. Final scores published by the National Statistics Board upon enactment.

Applications

Many Uses, One Framework

The DCF is not a single-purpose index. It structures decisions across the full range of national policy.

🏗️
Domestic investment prioritization
National + Local scope
📦
Tariff decisions (WTO-compatible)
Narrow subcomponents only
🤝
Preferential trade agreements
Global: Credibility, Institutional Function, Civic Life
🏦
Sovereign fund tax treaties
Global: Credibility primarily
🌍
Immigration preferences
Global (sending country) + domestic demographics
🔒
CFIUS / export controls
Global: Credibility, Defense, Institutional Function
🌱
Development assistance
Global: Flourishing, Institutional Function
🚨
Emergency response
Whichever domain/scope the crisis stresses
Governance

The National Statistics Board

Who publishes the scores? An independent, structured institution modeled on the Federal Reserve.

Members:12
Term length:12 years, staggered
Removal:For cause only
Funding:Self-funded (statutory appropriation)
Annual Publications
  • National Capacity Report (all eight domains, national scope)
  • County Capacity Atlas (local scope, 3,144 counties)
  • Global Credibility Index (global scope)
Five-Year Architecture Reviews

Every five years the Board reviews and (if necessary) revises domain definitions, indicator weights, and data sources. Changes require supermajority approval (8 of 12 members).

The National Statistics Board analyzes and reports — it does not make policy decisions.

Architecture

One Framework. Three Scopes.

The same eight domains, applied at every level of analysis.

Local
All eight domains scored at the county level across 3,144 US counties.
Explore the county map →
National
All eight domains. US compared against Denmark, Germany, Japan, UK, and others.
See the national octagon →
Global
Every country scored. Same framework. Drives treaty preferences, immigration, trade, and alignment.
Explore the global scorecard →
Global Scope

Global Scorecard

The same eight domains, scored for every country with which the United States has substantive relations.

Country Flour. Prod. Inst. Civic Demo. Ecol. Def. Cred. Category
Denmark9080928565754585Fully Aligned
Australia8272857860505880Fully Aligned
Canada8068827555605078Fully Aligned
Germany8270787255625572Fully Aligned
UK7568756255557272Fully Aligned
Japan8075787525486068Fully Aligned
South Korea7278706020456565Fully Aligned
India4055504570307248Partially Aligned
Brazil4845423855424542Partially Aligned
Mexico5048383560403540Partially Aligned
China6085553025358040Unaligned
Turkey5250353055386235Neutral
Saudi Arabia6560352050305530Partially Unaligned
Russia4550252035307520Unaligned
Iran4235201535255015Unaligned
Fully Aligned
Partially Aligned
Neutral
Partially Unaligned
Unaligned

Scores are preliminary placeholders. The National Statistics Board will publish validated scores upon enactment.