The Alliance Incentive replaces ad-hoc tariffs with a single rule: tariff rate scales with governance quality. Every nation the US has substantive trade or diplomatic relations with is scored across six independently-weighted domains — governance, environmental externalities, labor standards, defense contribution, trade openness, and human rights — by a panel of 7–9 international judges using the Olympic method (drop high and low; average the rest). The composite places the nation in one of four tiers, and the tier sets the base tariff (10% / 30% / 60% / 100–120%). The architecture rewards the direction of travel: a nation that improves its score climbs a tier; a nation that erodes descends. The same governance score also informs Parity Wedge immigration priority, supply-chain procurement preference, and defense co-production siting.
What you'll see below: the convergence map (where each nation sits today and where 2040 projections place it), the per-domain breakdown, and the tier-by-tier policy implications. Read the dots first, then drill into the table.
Governance Alignment Map
Each dot is a nation. Size reflects immigration population in the US. Color reflects governance tier.
How Scores Drive Policy
Five tiers, each with automatic consequences across trade, defense, immigration, and investment.
Full treaty access, 10–15% withholding, defense co-production, intelligence sharing, and mutual recognition.
Standard treaty terms, 30% withholding, trade benefits proportional to composite score. Co-production on non-sensitive systems.
Standard terms, limited co-production eligibility. Most-favored-nation baseline. Neutral withholding schedule.
Enhanced CFIUS/OFAC review. Surcharges on specific product categories. Export controls on dual-use technology. Reduced investment access.
Maximum reciprocal tariffs. Comprehensive export controls. No co-production or intelligence sharing. Alliance-coordinated economic boundaries.
Scores are recalculated annually. Any nation that improves measurably receives automatic tariff relief and co-production access via the Ratchet mechanism. Deterioration triggers proportional consequences without congressional action.
Nation Scorecard Table
95 nations scored across six domains. Click any row to expand.
| Country | Region | Score ▼ | Category | Imm. (K) | Gov | Env | Labor | Def | Trade | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶United Kingdom | Europe | 85 | Fully Aligned | 700 | 96 | 72 | 76 | 87 | 86 | 92 |
| ▶Finland | Europe | 84 | Fully Aligned | 15 | 93 | 79 | 86 | 68 | 81 | 94 |
| ▶Sweden | Europe | 83 | Fully Aligned | 50 | 90 | 83 | 88 | 62 | 79 | 93 |
| ▶Norway | Europe | 83 | Fully Aligned | 25 | 91 | 81 | 89 | 60 | 80 | 94 |
| ▶Denmark | Europe | 83 | Fully Aligned | 20 | 92 | 82 | 88 | 58 | 83 | 95 |
| ▶Netherlands | Europe | 81 | Fully Aligned | 70 | 89 | 76 | 84 | 62 | 83 | 92 |
| ▶New Zealand | Asia-Pacific | 78 | Fully Aligned | 30 | 91 | 69 | 80 | 52 | 80 | 93 |
| ▶Canada | N. America | 77 | Fully Aligned | 800 | 83 | 70 | 78 | 62 | 80 | 88 |
| ▶Switzerland | Europe | 76 | Fully Aligned | 60 | 88 | 76 | 80 | 40 | 82 | 90 |
| ▶Germany | Europe | 74 | Fully Aligned | 300 | 76 | 78 | 85 | 51 | 71 | 84 |
| ▶Australia | Asia-Pacific | 73 | Fully Aligned | 80 | 80 | 42 | 74 | 78 | 78 | 85 |
| ▶France | Europe | 73 | Fully Aligned | 200 | 74 | 72 | 76 | 68 | 68 | 80 |
| ▶Japan | Asia-Pacific | 71 | Fully Aligned | 400 | 80 | 58 | 70 | 78 | 63 | 78 |
| ▶Portugal | Europe | 70 | Fully Aligned | 150 | 78 | 68 | 72 | 48 | 72 | 82 |
| ▶Spain | Europe | 69 | Partially Aligned | 100 | 72 | 68 | 74 | 50 | 70 | 80 |
| ▶Taiwan | Asia-Pacific | 69 | Partially Aligned | 500 | 74 | 58 | 65 | 70 | 72 | 72 |
| ▶South Korea | Asia-Pacific | 68 | Partially Aligned | 1,000 | 74 | 52 | 62 | 80 | 63 | 76 |
| ▶Ireland | Europe | 68 | Partially Aligned | 130 | 84 | 56 | 76 | 30 | 76 | 88 |
| ▶Israel | Middle East | 67 | Partially Aligned | 150 | 64 | 60 | 68 | 82 | 70 | 56 |
| ▶Singapore | Asia-Pacific | 67 | Partially Aligned | 80 | 72 | 68 | 58 | 64 | 84 | 54 |
| ▶Czech Republic | Europe | 66 | Partially Aligned | 20 | 70 | 60 | 68 | 55 | 68 | 74 |
| ▶Poland | Europe | 65 | Partially Aligned | 400 | 62 | 54 | 68 | 72 | 64 | 70 |
| ▶Italy | Europe | 65 | Partially Aligned | 200 | 66 | 64 | 70 | 48 | 65 | 78 |
| ▶Costa Rica | C. America | 64 | Partially Aligned | 80 | 76 | 73 | 68 | 22 | 62 | 80 |
| ▶Greece | Europe | 62 | Partially Aligned | 150 | 62 | 60 | 68 | 45 | 62 | 72 |
| ▶Uruguay | S. America | 61 | Partially Aligned | 30 | 72 | 60 | 65 | 30 | 62 | 78 |
| ▶Chile | S. America | 61 | Partially Aligned | 120 | 72 | 58 | 60 | 38 | 64 | 72 |
| ▶Romania | Europe | 59 | Partially Aligned | 150 | 58 | 56 | 62 | 50 | 60 | 68 |
| ▶Hungary | Europe | 58 | Partially Aligned | 20 | 54 | 56 | 66 | 52 | 62 | 60 |
| ▶Ukraine | E. Europe | 54 | Partially Aligned | 350 | 52 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 48 | 55 |
| ▶Philippines | Asia-Pacific | 50 | Partially Aligned | 2,000 | 55 | 40 | 52 | 45 | 50 | 58 |
| ▶Argentina | S. America | 48 | Neutral | 200 | 54 | 48 | 52 | 30 | 46 | 60 |
| ▶Panama | C. America | 48 | Neutral | 100 | 55 | 48 | 50 | 22 | 52 | 60 |
| ▶Brazil | S. America | 47 | Neutral | 500 | 58 | 40 | 48 | 30 | 50 | 58 |
| ▶Trinidad & Tobago | Caribbean | 47 | Neutral | 250 | 58 | 40 | 52 | 22 | 50 | 62 |
| ▶South Africa | S. Africa | 47 | Neutral | 80 | 56 | 38 | 50 | 26 | 50 | 60 |
| ▶Turkey | Europe/Asia | 47 | Neutral | 100 | 40 | 42 | 52 | 60 | 48 | 40 |
| ▶Malaysia | Asia-Pacific | 47 | Neutral | 50 | 52 | 45 | 48 | 32 | 60 | 42 |
| ▶Jamaica | Caribbean | 46 | Neutral | 700 | 55 | 42 | 50 | 22 | 48 | 60 |
| ▶Mexico | N. America | 45 | Neutral | 11,200 | 56 | 42 | 39 | 22 | 52 | 58 |
| ▶Colombia | S. America | 45 | Neutral | 800 | 47 | 42 | 48 | 30 | 50 | 52 |
| ▶Morocco | N. Africa | 45 | Neutral | 100 | 50 | 42 | 42 | 40 | 46 | 48 |
| ▶Ecuador | S. America | 44 | Neutral | 700 | 50 | 44 | 48 | 24 | 46 | 52 |
| ▶Peru | S. America | 44 | Neutral | 500 | 52 | 40 | 46 | 26 | 48 | 52 |
| ▶Indonesia | S.E. Asia | 43 | Neutral | 100 | 52 | 34 | 40 | 38 | 44 | 52 |
| ▶Guyana | S. America | 42 | Neutral | 250 | 50 | 42 | 48 | 18 | 42 | 52 |
| ▶Ghana | W. Africa | 42 | Neutral | 150 | 54 | 36 | 44 | 22 | 42 | 56 |
| ▶India | S. Asia | 41 | Neutral | 2,700 | 59 | 29 | 29 | 52 | 33 | 42 |
| ▶Dominican Republic | Caribbean | 41 | Neutral | 1,200 | 48 | 40 | 42 | 22 | 44 | 52 |
| ▶Kenya | E. Africa | 41 | Neutral | 120 | 48 | 38 | 42 | 28 | 42 | 50 |
| ▶Thailand | S.E. Asia | 41 | Neutral | 300 | 38 | 40 | 38 | 42 | 48 | 40 |
| ▶Jordan | Middle East | 41 | Neutral | 80 | 42 | 38 | 44 | 42 | 40 | 40 |
| ▶Tunisia | N. Africa | 40 | Neutral | 100 | 42 | 40 | 42 | 32 | 42 | 44 |
| ▶Sri Lanka | S. Asia | 39 | Partially Unaligned | 60 | 42 | 38 | 42 | 22 | 40 | 48 |
| ▶Nepal | S. Asia | 38 | Partially Unaligned | 100 | 45 | 36 | 40 | 22 | 36 | 48 |
| ▶Bolivia | S. America | 38 | Partially Unaligned | 100 | 44 | 42 | 40 | 18 | 38 | 48 |
| ▶Vietnam | Asia-Pacific | 38 | Partially Unaligned | 1,400 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 45 | 32 |
| ▶Senegal | W. Africa | 35 | Partially Unaligned | 50 | 42 | 32 | 38 | 18 | 36 | 44 |
| ▶Nigeria | W. Africa | 33 | Partially Unaligned | 400 | 36 | 28 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 42 |
| ▶El Salvador | C. America | 32 | Partially Unaligned | 1,400 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 38 |
| ▶Egypt | N. Africa | 32 | Partially Unaligned | 200 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 38 | 36 | 28 |
| ▶Uzbekistan | C. Asia | 31 | Partially Unaligned | 100 | 35 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 30 |
| ▶Pakistan | S. Asia | 31 | Partially Unaligned | 500 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 35 | 28 | 30 |
| ▶Cambodia | S.E. Asia | 31 | Partially Unaligned | 300 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 36 | 28 |
| ▶Kazakhstan | C. Asia | 31 | Partially Unaligned | 40 | 35 | 28 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 30 |
| ▶Bangladesh | S. Asia | 30 | Partially Unaligned | 200 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 22 | 34 | 36 |
| ▶Ethiopia | E. Africa | 30 | Partially Unaligned | 250 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 28 | 32 |
| ▶Saudi Arabia | Middle East | 30 | Partially Unaligned | 60 | 25 | 28 | 32 | 30 | 38 | 25 |
| ▶Cameroon | W. Africa | 28 | Unaligned | 100 | 32 | 28 | 30 | 20 | 28 | 32 |
| ▶Iran | Middle East | 27 | Unaligned | 400 | 22 | 32 | 28 | 42 | 22 | 18 |
| ▶Lebanon | Middle East | 27 | Unaligned | 150 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 28 | 30 |
| ▶Guatemala | C. America | 26 | Unaligned | 900 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 18 | 30 | 32 |
| ▶Laos | S.E. Asia | 26 | Unaligned | 200 | 25 | 30 | 28 | 20 | 28 | 22 |
| ▶Honduras | C. America | 25 | Unaligned | 700 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 30 |
| ▶Liberia | W. Africa | 24 | Unaligned | 80 | 30 | 22 | 26 | 14 | 22 | 30 |
| ▶Mozambique | S. Africa | 24 | Unaligned | 20 | 28 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 24 | 30 |
| ▶Cuba | Caribbean | 23 | Unaligned | 1,400 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 22 | 18 | 20 |
| ▶Iraq | Middle East | 21 | Unaligned | 200 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| ▶Venezuela | S. America | 20 | Unaligned | 300 | 18 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
| ▶Myanmar/Burma | S.E. Asia | 20 | Unaligned | 200 | 18 | 28 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 10 |
| ▶Haiti | Caribbean | 19 | Unaligned | 700 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 20 | 28 |
| ▶Nicaragua | C. America | 19 | Unaligned | 400 | 15 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 18 |
| ▶Zimbabwe | S. Africa | 19 | Unaligned | 80 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 14 | 18 | 22 |
| ▶Mali | W. Africa | 17 | Unaligned | 30 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 20 |
| ▶Russia | E. Europe | 15 | Unaligned | 400 | 10 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| ▶DR Congo | C. Africa | 15 | Unaligned | 40 | 12 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 18 |
| ▶Burkina Faso | W. Africa | 15 | Unaligned | 20 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 18 |
| ▶China | Asia-Pacific | 14 | Unaligned | 2,900 | 12 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 8 |
| ▶Afghanistan | S. Asia | 13 | Unaligned | 100 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| ▶Sudan | E. Africa | 12 | Unaligned | 50 | 10 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
| ▶Somalia | E. Africa | 10 | Unaligned | 150 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| ▶Eritrea | E. Africa | 10 | Unaligned | 50 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| ▶Syria | Middle East | 9 | Unaligned | 150 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| ▶Yemen | Middle East | 9 | Unaligned | 50 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| ▶South Sudan | E. Africa | 9 | Unaligned | 25 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 10 |