55-year projection · v10.2 · rerun 2026-04-30
Dynamic Fiscal Model
CBO baseline vs The Accord · Interactive scoring
Architecture version: v10.2
Scoring version: v10.2 (rerun 2026-04-30)
2035
Accord: Surplus $1.12T
Income TaxCorporateVATWealth+EstateFinancial Transactions Tax+too-big-to-fail bankPayroll taxCarbon / ClimateSurplusClimate Trust
All projections are in nominal dollars, grown at 4% per year (CBO central path: 1.8% real GDP + 2.2% CPI-U). Source: CBO, The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2025 to 2035 (January 2025). Long-run extrapolation 2036–2079 holds the same 4% nominal growth, consistent with CBO, The Long-Term Budget Outlook: 2025 to 2055 (March 2025). Use the “% GDP” toggle above to remove the nominal-dollar drift.
Controls
The Deal
Payroll tax Rate
28.0%
Top Income Tax
55%
VAT Rate
10.0%
Carbon Start
$80/ton
Carbon Esc.
$30/yr
Corporate
30%
Estate Tax Prepayment
1.3%
Land-Value Surcharge (terminal)
0.50%
Year-1 starts at 0.10%; +0.05%/yr to terminal at Year 9.
Wealth Struck Down
Programs
Distributed Healthcare
$5.90T
Defense
3.2%
Universal Child Allowance 1st Child
$600/mo
Economy
GDP Growth
4.0%
Starting Debt
$39T
Blended Rate
3.5%
Immigration
+0.2pp
Fed
Fed Start
4.5%
Inflation
2.0%
Neutral Floor
2.5%
Shocks
Recession Yr
None
Tier 2.5 · Not CBO microsimulation