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The Fiscal Model — Steady-State Year-10 (2040)
Revenue and obligation flows under v10.2 Central anchors — payroll tax 28% (corridor 26.5–29.0%), top rate 55% (corridor 53.5–56.0%), VAT 10/15%, Distributed Healthcare $5.55T. Social Security 2.0 paid from General Fund; the Debt Sunset Governor auto-adjusts payroll tax + top rate to guarantee 50-year debt retirement; Climate Adaptation Trust accumulates carbon-fee surplus above the household rebate cap. Hover any bar for details.
Gross Revenue
$15.36T
Rebates Returned
−$0.82T
Net Revenue
$14.54T
Obligations
$12.89T
Trust Deposits
$0.86T
Debt Retirement
$0.79T/yr
Revenue Sources → $15.36T Gross
payroll tax (28%)$5.04T
Unified Income Tax (top 55%)$3.40T
Market Corrections$2.29T
Value-Added Tax (10% / 15% luxury)$1.60T
Carbon & Climate$1.28T
Corporate Tax$0.93T
Wealth & Estate$0.82T
Statutory Rebates → $0.82T Returned
VAT Pre-bate−$0.58T
Energy Stipend (Carbon)−$0.24T
Net Revenue$14.54T
On-Budget Obligations → $12.89T
Distributed Healthcare$5.55T
Social Security 2.0 (paid from GF)$2.27T
Other Programs$1.44T
Defense & Other Federal$1.20T
Debt service (Year 10)$1.13T
Infrastructure$0.68T
Children & Families$0.48T
Education & Skills$0.14T
Ring-Fenced Trust Deposits → $1.15T/yr
Climate Adaptation Trust (growing)$0.83T
Financial Stability Reserve$0.03T
Net Revenue − Obligations
$1.65T
after Distributed Healthcare ($5.55T) + debt service ($1.13T) at Year 10
→
Deployable surplus (Central)
$0.79T/yr
v10.2 Y10 canon. Debt retires ~2079 (Debt Sunset Governor-guaranteed)
Public Debt Trajectory — $29.5T → $0 within 50 years (Debt Sunset-guaranteed; Central-scenario anchors shown)
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
2079
Rises 2035 (stimulus spike) · peaks ~$46TCentral retires ~2079 · Debt Sunset guarantees ≤50 yrs in every scenario
Climate Adaptation Trust: Accumulates 100% of carbon-fee revenue above the household rebate cap, plus all Methane Accountability and Reduction Levy receipts. Ring-fenced; statutorily insulated from General Fund appropriation. Disbursed by the Expert Panel on Climate Resilience across the ~200-year arc of climate impacts — accumulating during the decarbonization window and drawn down to fund infrastructure mitigation (coastal defense, grid hardening, water resilience, wildfire hardening) as physical-climate damage materializes. One-time-chance framing: declining carbon use means revenue tapers as decarbonization succeeds; there will never be another opportunity to capitalize a trust of this scale from carbon revenue.
Want to test these numbers under different assumptions?
Fiscal Scoring renders the same flows as a live diagram: revenue → General Fund → expenditures → surplus, with sliders for payroll tax, top rate, VAT, carbon, and corporate. The bars on this page are the v10.2 anchor case; Scoring lets you move off it.